Box I contains two white and three black balls. Box II contains f

For A, B and C, the chances of being selected as manager of a firm are 4 : 1 : 2, repectively. The probabilities for them to introduce a radical change in the marketing strategy are 0.3, 0.8 and 0.5 respectively. If a change takes place; find the probability that it is due to the appontment of B.


Let events be

E1 = A is selected manager

E2 = B is selected manager

E3 = C is selected manager

E = radical change in the marketing strategy

P(E1) = 

By Baye's theorem,

P(E2/E) = P(E2)P(E/E2)P(E1)P(E/E1) +P(E2)P(E/E2)+P(E3)P(E/E3)

As P(E/E1) = 0.3, P(E/E2) = 0.8, P(E/E3) = 0.5

Applying Baye's theorem,

P(E2/E) = 1/7 × 0.84/7 × 0.3 + 1/7 × 0.8 +2 × 0.5

P(E2/E) = 415


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Box I contains two white and three black balls. Box II contains four white and one black balls and box III contains three white and four black balls. A dice having three red, two yellow, and one green face, is thrown to select the box. If red face turns up, we pick up box I, if yellow face turns up, we pick up box II, otherwise we pick up box III. Then, we draw a ball from the selected box. If the ball drawn is white, what is the probability that the dice had turned up with a red face?


P(Red) = 36, PYellow = 26, P(Green) = 16

The probability of drawing white ball,

 PWhiteRed = 25, PWhiteYellow = 45, PWhiteGreen = 37

PRedWhite = PRed × P(WhiteRed)PRedPWhiteRed +PYellowPWhiteYellow + PGreenPWhiteGreen

             = 36 × 2536 × 25 +26 × 45 +16 × 37

            = 630630 + 830 +342

            = 1515 + 415 +114

           = 1542 +56 +15210

           = (1/5) x (210/113)

           = 42/113 = 0.37


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Five dice are thrown simulteneously. If the occurence of an odd number in a single dice is considered a success, find the probability of maximum three successses.


Given, n = 5, p = P(1, 3 , 5) = 12, q = 1 - p = 1 - 12 = 12

P(Maximum three success) = 1 -[P(4) + P(5)]

                                       = 1 - 5C412412 + 5C5125

                                       = 1 -132 5C4 +5C5

                                       = 1 - 1325 + 1

                                       = 1 - 316

                                      = 1316 = 0.81


If A and B are events such that P(A) = 12, P(B) = 13 and P(AB) = 14 then find:

(a) P(A/B)

(b) P(B/A)


Given, P(A) = 12, P(B) = 13, P(AB) = 14

 P(A/B) = P(AB)P(B) = 1413 = 34

 P(B) = P(AB)P(A) = 1412 = 12


In a race, the probabilities of A and B winning the race are 13 and 16 respectively. Find the probability of neither of them winning the race.


Let A win the race be E1

B win the race be E2

P(E1) = 13, P(E2) = 16

P(E'1  E'2) = P(E'1 ).P(E'2) 

                 = [1 - P(E1)].[1 - P(E2)]

                 = [1 - 13].[1 - 16]

                 = 23 × 56

                 = 59

Thus, the probability of neither of them winning the race is 5/9.


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